
Startup Survival Calculator
Research shows 86% of Indian startups fail within five years. This calculator estimates your survival probability based on key business factors from the article data. Your inputs will determine how your startup compares to others in the ecosystem.
Startup Inputs
Your Results
Survival Probability: 14%
Based on your inputs
- Secure Series A funding within 18 months
- Validate market demand before scaling
- Build a 12-month cash flow model
- Engage experienced mentors
Key Takeaways
- The overall failure rate for Indian startups founded after 2015 hovers around 86%.
- Funding gaps, market mis‑fit, and regulatory hurdles are the top three reasons for collapse.
- Startups that secure SeriesA funding within 18months see a 30% higher survival chance.
- Compared with the global average (≈90%), India’s rate is slightly better but still high.
- Early‑stage mentorship, lean cash‑flow management, and strong unit economics can cut the odds of failure in half.
When people ask startup failure rate in India, they expect hard numbers, not vague guesses. Below you’ll find the latest data, why startups stumble, how India stacks up against the world, and practical steps you can take to improve your odds.
Startup failure rate in India is the percentage of newly‑registered companies that cease operations within a given timeframe, typically five years. The metric is tracked by agencies such as the Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA), venture‑capital firms, and research houses like NASSCOM.
What the Numbers Say (2020‑2024)
Based on MCA filings, NASSCOM’s annual ecosystem report, and Crunchbase data, the failure rate by cohort looks like this:
Founding Year | Failed Within 5Years | Survived Beyond 5Years |
---|---|---|
2015‑2016 | 87% | 13% |
2017‑2018 | 84% | 16% |
2019‑2020 | 81% | 19% |
2021‑2022 | 78% | 22% |
2023‑2024 (early data) | ≈75% | ≈25% |
Even the most recent cohort shows a 75%‑plus failure rate, meaning roughly three out of four Indian startups never make it to their fifth anniversary.
How India Compares Globally
Globally, the five‑year failure rate sits near 90% according to a 2023 study by the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor. India’s 86% figure is marginally better, thanks to a booming venture‑capital market and government schemes that keep cash flowing longer.
Here’s a quick snapshot:
- United States: ≈92%
- China: ≈89%
- Germany: ≈88%
- India: ≈86%
While the gap seems small, the difference translates into billions of rupees that stay in the economy longer.

Why Startups Fail in India - The Top Five Causes
Understanding the why helps you avoid the same fate. Below are the five most‑cited reasons, backed by surveys from NASSCOM and venture‑capital firms.
- Funding gaps: 62% of founders say they ran out of cash before securing the next round. Early‑stage Angel investor funding often dries up after the seed stage, and many startups never reach SeriesA.
- Product‑market mis‑fit: 48% of failed ventures launched without validating demand. They built features no one wanted, leading to low revenue and high churn.
- Poor financial management: 41% lacked disciplined cash‑flow tracking. Burn rates exceeded runway, and founders delayed crucial cost‑cutting decisions.
- Regulatory and compliance hurdles: 35% struggled with tax filings, GST registration, or sector‑specific licenses. Delays in approvals can stall go‑to‑market plans.
- Talent acquisition and retention: 28% could not hire or keep key engineers, salespeople, or product managers, causing product delays and missed milestones.
Funding Dynamics - When Money Saves a Startup
The link between funding and survival is clear. Startups that raise a SeriesA round within 18months have a 30% higher survival rate than those waiting longer.
Key funding sources in India include:
- Venture capital (VC) - accounts for ~55% of early‑stage capital, led by firms like Sequoia India, Accel, and Elevation.
- Angel investors - provide seed money, often in the ₹5‑₹20lakh range.
- Government schemes - such as Startup India’s Fund of Funds, which injects equity into VC funds.
- Corporate incubators - giants like Tata and Reliance run accelerator programs that include capital, mentorship, and market access.
For founders, the rule of thumb is simple: secure a funding bridge that covers at least 12‑month runway *plus* a buffer for unexpected delays.
Case Studies - Survivors vs. Collapsed Startups
Seeing real examples helps translate statistics into lessons.
Survivor: Freshworks (founded 2010) raised an early seed from angel investors, then secured a SeriesA of $5million in 2012. The company focused on a SaaS product with clear unit economics, which allowed it to become India’s first SaaS unicorn in 2020.
Collapsed: SnapShop (founded 2018) built a mobile shopping app without market validation. The team burned through ₹2crore in six months on marketing, missed product‑market fit, and never raised a follow‑on round. The startup folded in 2020.
Key takeaway: early validation plus disciplined cash‑flow management dramatically improve survival odds.

Practical Steps to Reduce Failure Risk
Below is a checklist you can use right now.
- Validate demand with at least 100 paying customers before scaling.
- Build a 12‑month cash‑flow model; update it monthly.
- Target a SeriesA raise within 12‑18 months of launch.
- Leverage Startup India benefits - tax exemptions, fast‑track patents, and funding grants.
- Secure at least one experienced mentor (ex‑founder or VC partner) to guide product road‑maps.
- Adopt lean development: release MVP, gather feedback, iterate.
- Monitor regulatory compliance weekly - GST filings, labor laws, sector licences.
Following this routine can cut your failure probability by roughly 40% according to a 2024 NASSCOM survey.
Future Outlook - Will the Failure Rate Drop?
Several forces suggest a gradual decline:
- More capital: Domestic VC funds are expected to hit $30billion in 2025, increasing competition for high‑quality deals.
- Better data: Platforms like Crunchbase India now offer granular metrics, helping investors spot red flags earlier.
- Policy support: The government plans a second phase of Startup India, adding a ₹1,000crore grant pool for deep‑tech ventures.
Even with these positives, the fundamental challenges of market fit and cash management will keep the failure rate above 70% for the near term.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current five‑year failure rate for Indian startups?
For startups founded between 2019 and 2020, roughly 81% shut down within five years, according to MCA and NASSCOM data.
How does India's failure rate compare with the United States?
The U.S. sees about a 92% five‑year failure rate, slightly higher than India’s 86% average.
Which funding stage matters most for survival?
Securing SeriesA funding within the first 18 months improves survival odds by roughly 30%, according to a 2023 VC survey.
What are the biggest regulatory hurdles for Indian startups?
Common challenges include GST registration, sector‑specific licences (e.g., fintech), and compliance with the Companies Act’s filing deadlines.
Can mentorship really reduce failure odds?
Founders with at least one experienced mentor report a 20‑30% higher chance of reaching SeriesA, according to NASSCOM’s 2024 mentorship study.
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